UFC 255 Betting Plays
Looking to lose some last minute cash? Well look no further than our UFC 255 gambling picks. Each pick has been hand crafted and imported from the most foreign of lands to empty your pockets and fill you with regret. So what are you waiting for? That money isn't going to lose itself.
The visual below maps model probabilities against implied Vegas odds. The Vegas odds rectangles depict the line movement throughout the week:
Strikes and takedown comparisons for the upcoming matches:
Bets I love:
Alex Perez +230
We're about to find out how lopsided the Flyweight division is. Is Figueiredo in a completely different realm where every matchup seems unfair? Or are there viable title challengers in the top 5? My money is on the latter.
Jordan Wright +200
Joaquin Buckley went from getting completely outclassed by Kevin Holland to having a knockout finish in his following fight that will be replayed for the next decade. Wright meanwhile breezed through his UFC debut as an undersized Light Heavyweight. I don't see anything that justifies Buckley as a 2-1 favorite here and it's my contention that he is being overvalued because of a highlight knockout.
Bets I like:
Valentina Shevchenko -1800
This should be close to guaranteed cash which is why the line has moved from -1400 to -1800 in the last week.
Tim Means EVEN
I liked this bet a lot more before Perry came in overweight. Perry will now have the advantage in size and the benefit of not having to endure a full weight cut. I still think Means edges Perry in a decision however I am a lot less confident now than I was earlier this week.
Brandon Royval +155
Both Royval and Moreno have a common opponent in Kai Kara-France and both looked really sharp in their bouts. For me, I prefer Royval's unorthodox style and I think he is going to go far in this sport which is why I am not betting against him.
Data provided by www.ufcstats.com
Lines provided by www.bovada.lv